Friday, May 9, 2014

Climate Prediction Center Issues El Niño Watch

Look away.

http://ghotchkiss.files.wordpress.com/2013/12/3d-audience.jpg

From NOAA:
EL NIÑO/SOUTHERN OSCILLATION (ENSO) DIAGNOSTIC DISCUSSION
issued by CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER/NCEP and the International Research Institute for Climate and Society,  8 May 2014
ENSO Alert System Status: El Niño Watch
Synopsis: Chance of El Niño increases during the remainder of the year, exceeding 65% during summer.
2014_elnino
...MORE (6 page PDF)

We looked at the plume of ENSO model predictions in Wednesday's "Large, globally diverse, reinsurers continue to avoid the worst".